Showing posts with label coronavirus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label coronavirus. Show all posts

Saturday, May 30, 2020

In defense of science, for science's sake







In my previous blog I mentioned this letter from Brazilian scientists, who were speaking out against those who profess to speak for science.  I put a similar post on Facebook as well, and someone shared my post, which resulted in the thread below.  



Tim shared a post
May 28
    Dave Bad Person added a post
    May 26
Some scientists in Brazil decided to speak out against anyone who professes to speak for science with regard to the pandemic. And how did they do this? By speaking for science!
At the end of the article each scientist who contributed to it is measured by how many citations they have, not by what contribution they've made to society. This is a perfect example of how academia has become a self-referential system where researchers chase citations and kudos from fellow researchers, rather than trying to solve real world problems. And don't you dare "dishonestly usurp science's prestige", because these children of the wealthy, these glorified hobbyists, these unqualified educators, they want to keep science for themselves, to be conducted only at universities, only by people with PhDs, to be hidden away in obscure academic journals that hardly anyone reads. They know science belongs to everyone, but they want to keep a monopoly on it, solely for their own benefit. Wankers.

Nelly
This post is bullshit Tim. Why would you put this out in the world? Are you anti-science now? Have you always been? Citations tell us that researchers are published and do peer-reviewed science.

Tim
By no means anti-science.
I like diverse opinion.
Dave is a very cynical and smart dude who has been deep inside academia, intelligentsia, and corporate science when he isn't blowing himself up in the desert.
He could probably be a speaker for Science On Tap for any number of topics. BTW, he makes a mean curry.
I posted the original article and he reposted into his timeline (you see top level here) and thought this was an interesting take.
Personally this was the first time I had seen an academic touting how many citations they had. Didn't realize that was a badge of honor of sorts which makes sense.
But I also see how it can be like a circle jerk of instagram influencers liking each other's work.
An interesting counter to my initial post.


This sub thread between Tim and Nelly went on further but veered off the topic.


Raymon
The interwebs distruption bots are strong with this one.



My response to Nelly


Dave Bad Person
I'm not anti-science, I'm anti-academia. I had a 17 year career studying and working in universities around the world as a biomedical researcher, and for the last 14 years I've worked in corporate research & development in the electronics engineering industry in San Diego, California. There is much I could say about academia, more than can be said here, but the core of it is in that post. The fact is that most of the research going on in the world doesn't happen at universities, nor is it conducted by people with PhDs (I have a PhD). University academics tend to think they have the monopoly on science and scientific research. They don't. I understand that universities are important educational institutions which produce highly trained professionals for society, but that is an entirely separate enterprise from the scientific research conducted at universities. Actually, most universities don't require their faculty to even have qualifications in teaching, which really just makes them hobbyist educators, amateurs. As for the research, there are currently about 2.5 million scholarly articles published each year in over 28,000 academic journals, most of them with a tiny readership. Most scientific journal articles are read in full by no more than 10 people. We currently produce more scientific data than we can ever use. Meanwhile, most of the progress in the last 25 years has come not from science, but from engineering. Science needs to be put to work for society, not hoarded away in the musty halls of academia, to be conducted only by those who've paid their dues to be part of the system. In the mid-20th century the investment in university research clearly resulted in a good return for society, but that's not so certain anymore.

Sean
Do you think this quantity-over-quality trend has anything to do with the move away from publicly funded basic science to corporate work that focuses on niches and profit opportunities?

Sean
My biggest concerns about this article are 1. It doesn't really suggest an opposing viewpoint, but rather undermines the credibility of science in general while 2. supporting the political views of the ruling administration of Brazil, which has a hard-right stance bordering on authoritarianism and has been seen to spread propaganda and silence opposing voices.

Dave Bad Person
Sean, firstly, you seem to embrace the false dichotomy of basic vs. applied research. You can do both. As for corporate niche research, academic research is even more niche, fringe, and offbeat. And if it's not profitable or at least useful then it adds no value to society. If that leads to quantity over quality then it's just producing more of something we can't use.

Dave Bad Person
Sean, it d
oes not undermine the credibility of science at all. Science still works, it just doesn't have to be owned and controlled by university academics simply because they consider themselves the only people who should be conducting and speaking for science. Acadmics don't "own" science, it doesn't "belong" to them, it belongs to everyone. Questioning the authority and control of science by academics is something I'll never stop doing.
I'm not supporting the Brazilian political system with my post, not in any way.
And in the end, what did the Brazilian scientist's letter achieve? Nothing. Nothing except another tally mark on the citation count for those involved in writing it. "Publish or perish", the old adage of academia, as if reaching an annual quota of publications and getting kudos from your fellow reseachers is more important than solving real world problems. Society does not allow academics enormous freedoms just so they can engage in frivolous nonsense, while society gets nothing in return.

Sean
Dave Bad Person, 
I understand that basic and applied research are both important and not necessarily distinct. What I mean is that basic research with public accountability and no specific commercial application is on the decline while applied research is being done primarily by corporations with a profit motive. That doesn't necessarily lead to bad science, but it does select what kinds of science get done.
As for the article itself, it reads like an ad hominem attack on the researchers behind the current understanding of this pandemic and the recommendations being issued and not a refutation of the science with better science.

Sean
Dave Bad Person, 
I also disagree with the idea that science with no commercial application isn't valuable. Not much money can be made at this point from the discoveries in astrophysics over recent decades, but the understanding of our universe has huge value, especially over the arc of history. Medicines that cure chronic conditions rapidly would be less profitable than ones made to treat symptoms for long periods of time but I think we, as a species, are better served in the long term by the former.

Dave Bad Person
Basic research with public accountability. What kind of accountability are we talking about, citation counts?
Well I have a "whole" four publications in biomedical research that have been cited hundreds of times. Does anyone care? Did they make a difference in the world? No.
I also helped invent the LTE technology that billions of people around the world use everyday on their cell phones to communicate, interact, entertain themselves, and be productive. Does it make a difference in he world? Hell yes. I'm also currently working to help invent the various technologies that will make 5G work. Do you think it will it make a difference too?
But I guess astrophysics is going to be super valuable some day, because the goals and utility of astrophysics is...??? How many times a day do you use your smart phone's high speed wireless data connection to the internet, and how many times a day do you use astrophysics? Maybe you should get to work on those disease cures, you could solve important problems AND make profit.

Sean
Dave Bad Person, 
Public accountability meaning research that's funded by and conducted primarily for the good of the public, not a private entity. I don't quite understand the hostility coming through in your comments here. I guess your commitment to the deeply important field of consumer electronics is commendable? I don't deny that communication is an important tool for society, but really man? Science without a big payout isn't worth it?

Raymon
Dave Bad Person, 
you had me, until you said profit. One day, far far in the future, profit, money even won't be needed. Collective efforts, for the common good will become the norm. Maybe I'm a delusional snowflake, but name one time that star-trek ever showed the exchange of money?

Raymon
Oh, except the foriengi, but they were dicks.

Dave Bad Person
Sure. Science without a payout isn't worth it to me. I did that career for 17 years and at the end of all those years of study, hard work, and dedication I was getting paid barely more than minimum wage, had crappy benefits, and lived on the brink of poverty, same as I'd grown up. It was completely unrewarding both financially and intellectually. Meanwhile most of the PhDs I worked with were from fairly wealthy families, and thus money and employment had never been major concerns in their lives, and so they'd had the luxury of being able to chase their frivolous dreams and bizarre interests without concern for where it may lead. You both seem to have the same mental illness as most academics:  a belief that basking in the glory of science is more noble than making a meaningful contributing to society, that science should be purely for academics, and that being coddled and isolated in the university system is better than having to go out in the real world and adapt and compete in the workforce. Maybe your naive idealistic moneyless utopia will materialize one day? Be ready for the disappointment when you realize it's not coming and you based your life philosophy on a stupid science fiction TV show for nerds.



That's all for now.
- Dave Bad Person


Friday, March 20, 2020

Hindsight is 2020


Don't worry kids, here comes.....

CAPTAIN HINDSIGHT TO THE RESCUE!

"Captain Hindsight here. See that outbreak kids, we should have seen that coming sooner, and we should have done more about it, and..... and of course it's the Big Bad Orange Man's fault, I was writing to the Whitehouse and calling my representative in congress long before anyone else saw this coming, that's how smart I am, but no one wouldn't listen to me...."

That's all for today's episode kids. Tune in again tomorrow when we'll find out if Captain Hindsight is actually Dave Trollpants in disguise, or if he's an entirely new online alter-ego of Dave Bad Person. Until then, remember that Hindsight is 2020, especially in the year 2020!





CAPTAIN HINDSIGHT TO THE RESCUE!

This particular Coronavirus can be genetically traced to a population of cave-dwelling horseshoe bats in Yunnan province. However, it's now believed the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan is where the epidemic started. Around the time the outbreak began the market was seen selling wild, exotic, and farmed animals in cages, and all in close proximity to each other. Such conditions are known to cause recombination of viruses and allows them to hop between species and eventually to humans. This is exactly how the closely related SARS virus started in Guangdong province back in 2002. Among the live animals photographed for sale at Huanan Market just before its closure were:  rats, snakes, wolf puppies, porcupines, foxes, crocodiles, giant salamanders, beavers, deer, pangolins, and badgers, as well as the usual poultry and pigs.

We should have seen this coming and we should have done something about it sooner.

CAPTAIN HINDSIGHT!


- Dave Bad Person







Wednesday, March 18, 2020

This is the best stock buying opportunity since the crash of 2008


Holy crap, this virus idiocy is looking to be the best stock market buying opportunity since the big crash of 2008. I'm in the hiring process for a new job and I can't wait to start so I can get paid and start buying stocks. The DOW is down a almost a third in a month, S&P is down over 20%, Kimberly Clark paper company is all over the place like a mad woman's breakfast! The only stock I have left these days is a REIT and I've lost my shirt on it, down 97%. It's not even worth selling it, I just gotta hold it until it goes back up. This new job will hopefully also have some stock options coming with it when I start, so I'll be getting those at a good time. 

I'm loving this social distancing thing too, I don't even have to show up for my current half-job!

If there's one thing I learned from the stock market crash of 2008, it's that you buy and hold. Buy buy buy, hold hold hold. My wife has been telling me this for years and she was right, just like she is 97% of the time, even when I won't admit it.
Thanks Wife! ❤️💜😱

Yup, I've had enough of slacking off and it's time to get back to work.

Thursday, March 12, 2020

Evidence that the media hysteria about Coronavirus is politically motivated


Here's a little lesson for you in how powerful the media is for controlling public opinion and manipulating crowd psychology.... 

Obama era, June 2009 to August 2010:  the CDC estimates that about 61 million people in the US were infected by H1N1, also known as Swine flu, resulting in 274,000 hospitalizations and 12,500 deaths.

Media response:  pretty chill. A Google search for "H1N1 toilet paper" finds no past articles about bulk toilet paper purchases or shelves emptied of toilet paper. A Google image search for the same words returns no images of bulk toilet paper purchases or shelves emptied of toilet paper. 


Trump era, 2020:  as of 4pm EST yesterday, the CDC has confirmed 1215 cases of Coronavirus and 36 deaths in the US.

Media response:  attempt to induce public mass hysteria. A Google search for "Coronavirus toilet paper" yields dozens if not hundreds of articles about bulk toilet paper purchases and shelves emptied of toilet paper. A Google image search for the same words reveals similar coverage of the topic.

If you're you think this epidemic isn't being politicized because this is an election year, I would say that based on that data alone, you're wrong. Is the liberal media pushing an agenda because they've decided who they want (or don't want) for president? I'll leave that up to you to decide. We've already seen what they've done with trying to suppress Bernie. Do you really think the liberal media works for you? 



- Dave Bad Person


Epilogue:  after talking to friends overseas whose countries are not having election years, but still have media hysteria and mass toilet paper buying, I have to conclude that the news coverage of the virus isn't entirely political at all. So there you go.



References










Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Disproportionate media coverage of Coronavirus


With the current levels of coronavirus coverage in the news, it's interesting to put things into perspective.

The centers for disease control (CDC) estimates there have been at least 15 million cases and 8200 deaths from influenza this flu season in the USA alone (flu season started Oct 1st). Mortality rate ~ 0.05%

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm


Total confirmed worldwide coronavirus infections so far: 6152.
Deaths: 132
Mortality rate: 2.15%

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


I wasn't able to find the frequency of media mentions of coronavirus vs influenza and flu. However, looking at Google searches might give us some clues as to how people are being influenced by the media.

Relative frequency of Google searches in the week from Jan 19 to Jan 25,
Coronavirus: 38
Influenza and flu combined: 15

Projected relative frequency of searches for the week ending Feb 1st,
Coronavirus: 100
Influenza and flu combined: 17

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=Coronavirus%2CInfluenza%2CFlu



Clearly the media is a useful tool for the mass management of public opinion.

My question then is: why such heavy coverage of Coronavirus? Is it simply a disproportionate attempt to inform and educate the public, or is it because it's something fearful that motivates people and therefore gets more viewers so the media can sell more advertising, or is it something else?

-Dave Bad Person



Some other articles.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novel_coronavirus_(2019-nCoV)

The Wuhan coronavirus was first reported to the World Health Organization on Dec 31st, 2019.
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2020/1/23/21079069/what-is-coronavirus-wuhan

China
spent the crucial first days of the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak arresting people who posted about it online and threatening journalists

These Lies And Conspiracies About The Wuhan Coronavirus Are Totally False
https://www.sciencealert.com/here-s-all-the-nonsense-people-are-spreading-about-the-wuhan-coronavirus


Report: Outbreak of idiocy spreading 10,000 times faster than coronavirus
https://thebeaverton.com/2020/01/report-outbreak-of-idiocy-spreading-10000-times-faster-than-coronavirus/